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Dynamic Management of Risk Contingency in Complex Design-Build Projects

机译:复杂设计建造项目中的风险应急管理

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摘要

Contingency budgets are commonly used by managers to respond to uncertainty and control the project within the original cost and schedule targets. However, a variety of project participants with conflicting interests creates tensions when it comes to managing the risk contingency escrow account during the project development, and divergences often arise over the need for either retaining the unspent contingencies (for future risk and improved facility) or releasing it as a profit. With the purpose of studying the dynamics and main influences involved in the risk contingency management process of a design-build (DB) project, a system dynamics (SD) contingency management model is proposed to simulate the decision-making scenarios, under different project conditions and behavioral pressures of senior managers and owners. The model suggests that an aggressive proactive risk management practice might be an effective policy for managing the contingency budget in a complex engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) project
机译:管理者通常使用应急预算来应对不确定性并将项目控制在原始成本和进度目标之内。但是,在项目开发过程中管理风险应急代管账户时,各种利益冲突的项目参与者会产生紧张关系,在保留未用的应急费用(以应对未来风险和改善设施)或释放方面经常会产生分歧。作为利润。为了研究设计-建造(DB)项目风险应急管理过程中涉及的动态和主要影响,提出了一种系统动态(SD)应急管理模型来模拟不同项目条件下的决策场景。以及高级管理人员和所有者的行为压力。该模型表明,积极主动的风险管理实践可能是在复杂的工程,采购和建筑(EPC)项目中管理应急预算的有效政策。

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